Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on June 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 18?
35°C 42%
36°C 30%
34°C 15%
37°C 11.4%
最新
$11,325 交易量
最新
$11,325 交易量
2026-06-18
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
15%
35°C
42%
36°C
30%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
36°C 30%
34°C 15%
37°C 11.4%
最新
$11,325 交易量
最新
$11,325 交易量
2026-06-18
30°C or below
$207 交易量
<1%
31°C
$255 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,669 交易量
1%
33°C
$2,513 交易量
6%
34°C
$2,350 交易量
15%
35°C
$1,014 交易量
42%
36°C
$1,055 交易量
30%
37°C
$1,171 交易量
11%
38°C
$387 交易量
1%
39°C
$395 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$345 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$11,325結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,325結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETOfficial forecasts from PAGASA place Manila’s June 18 maximum near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest 20-30% rain chance as the southwest monsoon begins to influence the region. This baseline, combined with typical early-monsoon humidity and limited daytime heating from increased cloud cover, anchors trader expectations around 34–36°C while allowing for urban heat-island effects or brief clear spells to push readings a degree or two higher. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability this close to the date, keeping probabilities concentrated on those central outcomes; any late-model shift toward stronger insolation or delayed monsoon onset could quickly elevate the 37°C+ tail.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions