Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 8?
24°C 32%
23°C 30%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-08
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
13%
23°C
30%
24°C
32%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 30%
25°C 14%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-08
18°C or below
$66 交易量
<1%
19°C
$88 交易量
1%
20°C
$277 交易量
1%
21°C
$481 交易量
3%
22°C
$575 交易量
13%
23°C
$2,245 交易量
30%
24°C
$530 交易量
32%
25°C
$158 交易量
14%
26°C
$270 交易量
3%
27°C
$218 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$68 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$4,976結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,976結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETTrader consensus favors a 23–24°C high for Mexico City on July 8 because official forecasts and ensemble models place the maximum in that narrow band amid the North American monsoon’s influence. Afternoon convective clouds and showers, common in July at 2,240 m elevation, limit peak insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping most days from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which accounts for the tight spread across 22–25°C outcomes. Historical July climatology reinforces this clustering, with 22–26°C encompassing the large majority of observed daily maxima. Updated CONAGUA and global guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will be the key variable for final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions