Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C for Panama City on July 6 reflects the city's typical wet-season regime at 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective storms that limit peak insolation and cap maximum temperatures. High humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 28°C, and variable cloud cover create a narrow daily range, with small differences in storm timing or wind patterns able to shift the high by 1–2°C. Official short-range guidance and recent analogs show 30–33°C as the historical July cluster, leaving the closely matched market outcomes sensitive to the next model updates on local rainfall and radiative forcing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Panama City on July 6?
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 5.9%
$13,999 交易量
$13,999 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
32%
33°C
38%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 5.9%
$13,999 交易量
$13,999 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
32%
33°C
38%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C for Panama City on July 6 reflects the city's typical wet-season regime at 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective storms that limit peak insolation and cap maximum temperatures. High humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 28°C, and variable cloud cover create a narrow daily range, with small differences in storm timing or wind patterns able to shift the high by 1–2°C. Official short-range guidance and recent analogs show 30–33°C as the historical July cluster, leaving the closely matched market outcomes sensitive to the next model updates on local rainfall and radiative forcing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions