Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月29日巴黎最高溫度？
7月29日巴黎最高溫度？
37°C 38%
38°C 29%
36°C 26%
35°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
8%
36°C
26%
37°C
38%
38°C
29%
39°C
5%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 38%
38°C 29%
36°C 26%
35°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-07-29
32°C or below
$25 交易量
<1%
33°C
$25 交易量
2%
34°C
$25 交易量
2%
35°C
$33 交易量
8%
36°C
$82 交易量
26%
37°C
$234 交易量
38%
38°C
$120 交易量
29%
39°C
$40 交易量
5%
40°C
$40 交易量
1%
41°C
$30 交易量
1%
42°C or higher
$35 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ET
交易量
$578結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$578結束日期
2026-07-29市場開放時間
Jul 27, 2026, 4:03 AM ETRecent European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and warm air advection from southern regions, position Paris for a likely daily maximum near 37–38°C on July 29. Ensemble forecasts from major models show tight clustering around these values due to minimal expected cloud cover and light winds, which maximize daytime solar heating while limiting mixing with cooler air aloft. Urban heat island effects in central Paris further elevate observed readings by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Short-range model runs through July 27 indicate low probability of significant cooling fronts or convective clouds that could cap temperatures below 36°C or push them to 39°C+, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still differentiate the top outcomes. Updated Météo-France guidance and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions