Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Qingdao's June 18 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, influenced by persistent onshore flow from the Yellow Sea that typically caps early-summer highs near long-term climatological averages of 24–27 °C. Marine moderation, combined with expected overcast conditions and light winds, supports the current clustering of market-implied odds around the 29–31 °C thresholds while leaving room for modest upward revisions if a transient high-pressure ridge strengthens. Updated model runs overnight will clarify any intensification potential ahead of the daily maximum observation window used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月18日青島氣溫最高?
31°C或以上 40%
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
28°C 9%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C或以上
40%
31°C或以上 40%
30°C 27%
29°C 26%
28°C 9%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
26%
30°C
27%
31°C或以上
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and local meteorological services indicate Qingdao's June 18 maximum will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, influenced by persistent onshore flow from the Yellow Sea that typically caps early-summer highs near long-term climatological averages of 24–27 °C. Marine moderation, combined with expected overcast conditions and light winds, supports the current clustering of market-implied odds around the 29–31 °C thresholds while leaving room for modest upward revisions if a transient high-pressure ridge strengthens. Updated model runs overnight will clarify any intensification potential ahead of the daily maximum observation window used for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions