**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Toronto on July 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 6?
26°C 35%
27°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
最新
$12,096 交易量
最新
$12,096 交易量
2026-07-06
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
19%
26°C
35%
27°C
28%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
最新
$12,096 交易量
最新
$12,096 交易量
2026-07-06
22°C or below
$293 交易量
<1%
23°C
$688 交易量
<1%
24°C
$658 交易量
2%
25°C
$3,581 交易量
19%
26°C
$3,423 交易量
35%
27°C
$915 交易量
28%
28°C
$464 交易量
9%
29°C
$564 交易量
1%
30°C
$336 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,006 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$226 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$12,096結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,096結束日期
2026-07-06市場開放時間
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions