Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 3?
23°C 45%
24°C 32%
25°C 10.9%
22°C 10%
最新
$11,999 交易量
最新
$11,999 交易量
2026-07-03
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
45%
24°C
32%
25°C
11%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 32%
25°C 10.9%
22°C 10%
最新
$11,999 交易量
最新
$11,999 交易量
2026-07-03
20°C or below
$514 交易量
1%
21°C
$715 交易量
2%
22°C
$1,295 交易量
10%
23°C
$3,765 交易量
45%
24°C
$4,090 交易量
32%
25°C
$693 交易量
11%
26°C
$350 交易量
1%
27°C
$209 交易量
1%
28°C
$101 交易量
<1%
29°C
$100 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$168 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$11,999結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,999結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions