Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate models project Wuhan's July 14 maximum near 36–38°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically drives highs around the 34–35°C climatological average, but lingering meiyu moisture can enhance cloud cover and convective cooling that caps temperatures a degree or two below model guidance. Ensemble spreads in humidity, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any showers introduce the primary uncertainty separating the 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes, with traders weighting official station data and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月14日武漢氣溫最高？
7月14日武漢氣溫最高？
38°C 43%
37°C 37%
39°C 16.6%
36°C 5%
最新
$13,664 交易量
最新
$13,664 交易量
2026-07-14
32°C或以下
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
5%
37°C
37%
38°C
43%
39°C
17%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C或更高
<1%
38°C 43%
37°C 37%
39°C 16.6%
36°C 5%
最新
$13,664 交易量
最新
$13,664 交易量
2026-07-14
32°C或以下
$253 交易量
<1%
33°C
$417 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,070 交易量
<1%
35°C
$905 交易量
<1%
36°C
$506 交易量
5%
37°C
$2,129 交易量
37%
38°C
$1,099 交易量
43%
39°C
$1,755 交易量
17%
40°C
$1,802 交易量
1%
41°C
$871 交易量
1%
42°C或更高
$1,882 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate models project Wuhan's July 14 maximum near 36–38°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically drives highs around the 34–35°C climatological average, but lingering meiyu moisture can enhance cloud cover and convective cooling that caps temperatures a degree or two below model guidance. Ensemble spreads in humidity, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any showers introduce the primary uncertainty separating the 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes, with traders weighting official station data and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$13,664結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate models project Wuhan's July 14 maximum near 36–38°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically drives highs around the 34–35°C climatological average, but lingering meiyu moisture can enhance cloud cover and convective cooling that caps temperatures a degree or two below model guidance. Ensemble spreads in humidity, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any showers introduce the primary uncertainty separating the 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes, with traders weighting official station data and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,664結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate models project Wuhan's July 14 maximum near 36–38°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically drives highs around the 34–35°C climatological average, but lingering meiyu moisture can enhance cloud cover and convective cooling that caps temperatures a degree or two below model guidance. Ensemble spreads in humidity, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any showers introduce the primary uncertainty separating the 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes, with traders weighting official station data and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions