**No** holds a 55.5% market-implied probability on the “Love Wins: 2026 Edition” market because resolution requires all three celebrity milestones by year-end: Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marrying, Tom Holland and Zendaya marrying, and Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner getting engaged. Swift and Kelce’s July 2026 wedding at Madison Square Garden and Holland and Zendaya’s confirmed private ceremony have already satisfied two conditions, shifting focus to the remaining hurdle. Recent reporting indicates Chalamet and Jenner, together since 2023 and increasingly public this year, have no immediate plans to rush an engagement despite strong relationship signals and joint appearances. With roughly four months left, the absence of engagement momentum and the couple’s stated preference for a slower pace create the primary barrier to Yes. Traders are weighing the likelihood of a late-2026 proposal against historical patterns of deliberate pacing in high-profile relationships.