Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
7月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 24%
70-71華氏度 14%
76-77°F 5.3%
最新
$10,867 交易量
最新
$10,867 交易量
2026-07-14
華氏61度或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71華氏度
14%
72-73°F
53%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
華氏80度或更高
<1%
72-73°F 39%
74-75°F 24%
70-71華氏度 14%
76-77°F 5.3%
最新
$10,867 交易量
最新
$10,867 交易量
2026-07-14
華氏61度或以下
$359 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$613 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$940 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,247 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$3,529 交易量
1%
70-71華氏度
$1,479 交易量
14%
72-73°F
$331 交易量
53%
74-75°F
$427 交易量
31%
76-77°F
$402 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$893 交易量
1%
華氏80度或更高
$648 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
交易量
$10,867結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,867結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 8:30 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend across the Northeast, with a building ridge of high pressure driving southerly flow and limiting nocturnal cooling for New York City on July 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 60s to mid-70s Fahrenheit under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, consistent with trader consensus favoring 70–79°F ranges that together exceed 90% implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement on this trajectory, though any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge minimums slightly lower. Historical July norms for Central Park lows near 70°F provide context, while the absence of frontal passages reinforces elevated readings ahead of the next forecast update.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions