U.S. prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses after his capture in a U.S. military operation. Maduro and co-defendants pleaded not guilty, with pretrial proceedings continuing into March 2026 when a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss counts. The narco-terrorism statute under 21 U.S.C. § 960a has seen limited successful trials, with some prior convictions overturned on appeal due to witness credibility and evidentiary issues. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in the pretrial or early trial phase ahead of the next scheduled appearance, creating substantial procedural and substantive hurdles to convictions on every count. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% probability for “No” aligns with these ongoing uncertainties in a complex international prosecution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$124,910 交易量
$124,910 交易量
2027-12-31
$124,910 交易量
$124,910 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses after his capture in a U.S. military operation. Maduro and co-defendants pleaded not guilty, with pretrial proceedings continuing into March 2026 when a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss counts. The narco-terrorism statute under 21 U.S.C. § 960a has seen limited successful trials, with some prior convictions overturned on appeal due to witness credibility and evidentiary issues. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in the pretrial or early trial phase ahead of the next scheduled appearance, creating substantial procedural and substantive hurdles to convictions on every count. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% probability for “No” aligns with these ongoing uncertainties in a complex international prosecution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
交易量
$124,910結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses after his capture in a U.S. military operation. Maduro and co-defendants pleaded not guilty, with pretrial proceedings continuing into March 2026 when a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss counts. The narco-terrorism statute under 21 U.S.C. § 960a has seen limited successful trials, with some prior convictions overturned on appeal due to witness credibility and evidentiary issues. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in the pretrial or early trial phase ahead of the next scheduled appearance, creating substantial procedural and substantive hurdles to convictions on every count. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% probability for “No” aligns with these ongoing uncertainties in a complex international prosecution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$124,910結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses after his capture in a U.S. military operation. Maduro and co-defendants pleaded not guilty, with pretrial proceedings continuing into March 2026 when a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss counts. The narco-terrorism statute under 21 U.S.C. § 960a has seen limited successful trials, with some prior convictions overturned on appeal due to witness credibility and evidentiary issues. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in the pretrial or early trial phase ahead of the next scheduled appearance, creating substantial procedural and substantive hurdles to convictions on every count. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% probability for “No” aligns with these ongoing uncertainties in a complex international prosecution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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