US District Judge Alvin Hellerstein set a June 1, 2027, trial date in the Southern District of New York for Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores on four felony counts, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following their January 2026 capture and not-guilty pleas. Defense counsel has signaled intent to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 2026 pretrial hearing scheduled for motions. Traders price “No” at 69.5% because the more than ten-month gap to trial introduces substantial uncertainty around procedural rulings, potential plea negotiations, executive-branch policy shifts, or evidentiary challenges that could prevent conviction on every count. Historical precedents involving foreign officials and the indictment’s reliance on complex narco-terrorism elements further inform the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
30% 機率
$130,892 交易量
$130,892 交易量
2027-12-31
是
30% 機率
$130,892 交易量
$130,892 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US District Judge Alvin Hellerstein set a June 1, 2027, trial date in the Southern District of New York for Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores on four felony counts, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following their January 2026 capture and not-guilty pleas. Defense counsel has signaled intent to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 2026 pretrial hearing scheduled for motions. Traders price “No” at 69.5% because the more than ten-month gap to trial introduces substantial uncertainty around procedural rulings, potential plea negotiations, executive-branch policy shifts, or evidentiary challenges that could prevent conviction on every count. Historical precedents involving foreign officials and the indictment’s reliance on complex narco-terrorism elements further inform the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
交易量
$130,892結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US District Judge Alvin Hellerstein set a June 1, 2027, trial date in the Southern District of New York for Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores on four felony counts, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following their January 2026 capture and not-guilty pleas. Defense counsel has signaled intent to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 2026 pretrial hearing scheduled for motions. Traders price “No” at 69.5% because the more than ten-month gap to trial introduces substantial uncertainty around procedural rulings, potential plea negotiations, executive-branch policy shifts, or evidentiary challenges that could prevent conviction on every count. Historical precedents involving foreign officials and the indictment’s reliance on complex narco-terrorism elements further inform the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$130,892結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US District Judge Alvin Hellerstein set a June 1, 2027, trial date in the Southern District of New York for Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores on four felony counts, including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, following their January 2026 capture and not-guilty pleas. Defense counsel has signaled intent to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with a November 2026 pretrial hearing scheduled for motions. Traders price “No” at 69.5% because the more than ten-month gap to trial introduces substantial uncertainty around procedural rulings, potential plea negotiations, executive-branch policy shifts, or evidentiary challenges that could prevent conviction on every count. Historical precedents involving foreign officials and the indictment’s reliance on complex narco-terrorism elements further inform the current consensus reflected in market pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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