The market for the relevant Mega Charizard X ex variant (likely the Phantasmal Flames Ultra Rare around the $32–$34 range) sits at an even 50% implied probability for closing over $34.11 by September 30 because recent raw sales have hovered near that level with balanced supply and steady collector demand. Broader Pokémon TCG market data shows modest gains in the overall index through late August 2026, supported by Charizard’s enduring popularity and lingering interest in Mega Evolution chase cards from the 2025 set, yet no fresh hype or major new releases have shifted momentum decisively. Key swing factors include September sales velocity on TCGplayer and eBay, any late-month sealed product restocks that could increase raw supply, and broader hobby liquidity trends tied to upcoming fall releases or collector events that might either reinforce floor support or trigger a quick correction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Mega Charizard X ex 9月30日價格上漲/下跌？
Mega Charizard X ex 9月30日價格上漲/下跌？
漲
50% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
漲
50% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $34.11.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $34.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $34.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The market for the relevant Mega Charizard X ex variant (likely the Phantasmal Flames Ultra Rare around the $32–$34 range) sits at an even 50% implied probability for closing over $34.11 by September 30 because recent raw sales have hovered near that level with balanced supply and steady collector demand. Broader Pokémon TCG market data shows modest gains in the overall index through late August 2026, supported by Charizard’s enduring popularity and lingering interest in Mega Evolution chase cards from the 2025 set, yet no fresh hype or major new releases have shifted momentum decisively. Key swing factors include September sales velocity on TCGplayer and eBay, any late-month sealed product restocks that could increase raw supply, and broader hobby liquidity trends tied to upcoming fall releases or collector events that might either reinforce floor support or trigger a quick correction.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $34.11.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $34.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $34.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $34.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $34.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $34.11.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $34.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $34.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The market for the relevant Mega Charizard X ex variant (likely the Phantasmal Flames Ultra Rare around the $32–$34 range) sits at an even 50% implied probability for closing over $34.11 by September 30 because recent raw sales have hovered near that level with balanced supply and steady collector demand. Broader Pokémon TCG market data shows modest gains in the overall index through late August 2026, supported by Charizard’s enduring popularity and lingering interest in Mega Evolution chase cards from the 2025 set, yet no fresh hype or major new releases have shifted momentum decisively. Key swing factors include September sales velocity on TCGplayer and eBay, any late-month sealed product restocks that could increase raw supply, and broader hobby liquidity trends tied to upcoming fall releases or collector events that might either reinforce floor support or trigger a quick correction.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $34.11.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $34.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $34.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $34.11.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Charizard X ex (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 023) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $34.11.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETThe market for the relevant Mega Charizard X ex variant (likely the Phantasmal Flames Ultra Rare around the $32–$34 range) sits at an even 50% implied probability for closing over $34.11 by September 30 because recent raw sales have hovered near that level with balanced supply and steady collector demand. Broader Pokémon TCG market data shows modest gains in the overall index through late August 2026, supported by Charizard’s enduring popularity and lingering interest in Mega Evolution chase cards from the 2025 set, yet no fresh hype or major new releases have shifted momentum decisively. Key swing factors include September sales velocity on TCGplayer and eBay, any late-month sealed product restocks that could increase raw supply, and broader hobby liquidity trends tied to upcoming fall releases or collector events that might either reinforce floor support or trigger a quick correction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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