**Trader consensus heavily favors the Under at 84% implied probability because the relevant Charizard ex variant—most likely the Japanese Scarlet & Violet 151 Special Illustration Rare or a comparable high-end modern printing—has been trading in the $340–$360 range in recent eBay and marketplace data as of mid-September 2026.** Prices have remained flat to slightly softer week-over-week, with no major upward catalysts in the immediate pipeline. The September 16 launch of the Pokémon TCG’s 30th Celebration set introduced reprints and new chase cards, but these have not translated into sustained demand spikes for existing Charizard ex printings. Short-term market dynamics, including steady supply on secondary platforms and typical post-hype cooling in the modern TCG space, support expectations that the card will close below the $376.42 threshold on September 30. Historical patterns for similar modern SIR Charizards show limited volatility over two-week windows absent a major tournament win, influencer surge, or set announcement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Charizard ex 9月30日的價格高於/低於$ 376.42 ？
Charizard ex 9月30日的價格高於/低於$ 376.42 ？
超過
16% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
超過
16% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $376.42.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Under at 84% implied probability because the relevant Charizard ex variant—most likely the Japanese Scarlet & Violet 151 Special Illustration Rare or a comparable high-end modern printing—has been trading in the $340–$360 range in recent eBay and marketplace data as of mid-September 2026.**
Prices have remained flat to slightly softer week-over-week, with no major upward catalysts in the immediate pipeline. The September 16 launch of the Pokémon TCG’s 30th Celebration set introduced reprints and new chase cards, but these have not translated into sustained demand spikes for existing Charizard ex printings. Short-term market dynamics, including steady supply on secondary platforms and typical post-hype cooling in the modern TCG space, support expectations that the card will close below the $376.42 threshold on September 30. Historical patterns for similar modern SIR Charizards show limited volatility over two-week windows absent a major tournament win, influencer surge, or set announcement.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $376.42.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
交易量
$50結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $376.42.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Under at 84% implied probability because the relevant Charizard ex variant—most likely the Japanese Scarlet & Violet 151 Special Illustration Rare or a comparable high-end modern printing—has been trading in the $340–$360 range in recent eBay and marketplace data as of mid-September 2026.**
Prices have remained flat to slightly softer week-over-week, with no major upward catalysts in the immediate pipeline. The September 16 launch of the Pokémon TCG’s 30th Celebration set introduced reprints and new chase cards, but these have not translated into sustained demand spikes for existing Charizard ex printings. Short-term market dynamics, including steady supply on secondary platforms and typical post-hype cooling in the modern TCG space, support expectations that the card will close below the $376.42 threshold on September 30. Historical patterns for similar modern SIR Charizards show limited volatility over two-week windows absent a major tournament win, influencer surge, or set announcement.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $376.42.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $376.42.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charizard ex (SV: 151, Special Illustration Rare 199/165) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $376.42.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
交易量
$50結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors the Under at 84% implied probability because the relevant Charizard ex variant—most likely the Japanese Scarlet & Violet 151 Special Illustration Rare or a comparable high-end modern printing—has been trading in the $340–$360 range in recent eBay and marketplace data as of mid-September 2026.** Prices have remained flat to slightly softer week-over-week, with no major upward catalysts in the immediate pipeline. The September 16 launch of the Pokémon TCG’s 30th Celebration set introduced reprints and new chase cards, but these have not translated into sustained demand spikes for existing Charizard ex printings. Short-term market dynamics, including steady supply on secondary platforms and typical post-hype cooling in the modern TCG space, support expectations that the card will close below the $376.42 threshold on September 30. Historical patterns for similar modern SIR Charizards show limited volatility over two-week windows absent a major tournament win, influencer surge, or set announcement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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