Trader sentiment heavily favors the Under at 93% implied probability because the raw market price for the Charmander Mega Evolution Black Star Promo (#38) has settled in the mid-$30s amid steady but unspectacular secondary-market activity. Recent eBay and TCGPlayer sales show values hovering between $33 and $39 with no fresh hype cycle, major reprint announcements, or viral collector demand to push it higher before the September 30 cutoff. Broader Pokémon TCG promo pricing has remained range-bound without the seasonal spikes sometimes seen around holidays or set releases. A late surge in graded demand or unexpected social-media momentum could still test the threshold, yet current volume and trajectory point to limited upside in the final days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月30日Charmander價格高於/低於$ 38.79 ?
超過
超過
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.79.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.79.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.79.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.79.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Trader sentiment heavily favors the Under at 93% implied probability because the raw market price for the Charmander Mega Evolution Black Star Promo (#38) has settled in the mid-$30s amid steady but unspectacular secondary-market activity. Recent eBay and TCGPlayer sales show values hovering between $33 and $39 with no fresh hype cycle, major reprint announcements, or viral collector demand to push it higher before the September 30 cutoff. Broader Pokémon TCG promo pricing has remained range-bound without the seasonal spikes sometimes seen around holidays or set releases. A late surge in graded demand or unexpected social-media momentum could still test the threshold, yet current volume and trajectory point to limited upside in the final days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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