**Strong trader consensus around a 6 million-plus eighth-weekend gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day stems from its record domestic run and proven audience retention.** The film surpassed Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim the all-time North American box office crown with roughly $936–940 million by mid-September 2026, after a $360 million opening and six straight weeks at number one. Its 2.6 legs reflect exceptional word-of-mouth and sustained theatrical demand typical of major Marvel entries. Recent data showed an $8.4 million seventh weekend amid new competition, yet the picture’s cumulative performance and historical precedent for long-running blockbusters underpin the market-implied odds exceeding 95 percent. Realistic upset paths include sharper-than-expected theater reductions, a sudden shift in audience engagement, or outsized competition that accelerates the usual late-run drop-off.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第8週末票房
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》第8週末票房
六百萬以上 95.6%
550-600萬 4.5%
400-450萬 1.1%
少於400萬 <1%
$36,665 交易量
$36,665 交易量
2026-09-20
少於400萬
1%
400-450萬
1%
450-500萬
<1%
500萬-550萬
1%
550-600萬
5%
六百萬以上
96%
六百萬以上 95.6%
550-600萬 4.5%
400-450萬 1.1%
少於400萬 <1%
$36,665 交易量
$36,665 交易量
2026-09-20
少於400萬
$1,029 交易量
1%
400-450萬
$885 交易量
1%
450-500萬
$3,630 交易量
<1%
500萬-550萬
$3,226 交易量
1%
550-600萬
$7,195 交易量
5%
六百萬以上
$20,700 交易量
96%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong trader consensus around a 6 million-plus eighth-weekend gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day stems from its record domestic run and proven audience retention.** The film surpassed Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim the all-time North American box office crown with roughly $936–940 million by mid-September 2026, after a $360 million opening and six straight weeks at number one. Its 2.6 legs reflect exceptional word-of-mouth and sustained theatrical demand typical of major Marvel entries. Recent data showed an $8.4 million seventh weekend amid new competition, yet the picture’s cumulative performance and historical precedent for long-running blockbusters underpin the market-implied odds exceeding 95 percent. Realistic upset paths include sharper-than-expected theater reductions, a sudden shift in audience engagement, or outsized competition that accelerates the usual late-run drop-off.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$36,665結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong trader consensus around a 6 million-plus eighth-weekend gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day stems from its record domestic run and proven audience retention.** The film surpassed Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim the all-time North American box office crown with roughly $936–940 million by mid-September 2026, after a $360 million opening and six straight weeks at number one. Its 2.6 legs reflect exceptional word-of-mouth and sustained theatrical demand typical of major Marvel entries. Recent data showed an $8.4 million seventh weekend amid new competition, yet the picture’s cumulative performance and historical precedent for long-running blockbusters underpin the market-implied odds exceeding 95 percent. Realistic upset paths include sharper-than-expected theater reductions, a sudden shift in audience engagement, or outsized competition that accelerates the usual late-run drop-off.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$36,665結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ET**Strong trader consensus around a 6 million-plus eighth-weekend gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day stems from its record domestic run and proven audience retention.** The film surpassed Star Wars: The Force Awakens to claim the all-time North American box office crown with roughly $936–940 million by mid-September 2026, after a $360 million opening and six straight weeks at number one. Its 2.6 legs reflect exceptional word-of-mouth and sustained theatrical demand typical of major Marvel entries. Recent data showed an $8.4 million seventh weekend amid new competition, yet the picture’s cumulative performance and historical precedent for long-running blockbusters underpin the market-implied odds exceeding 95 percent. Realistic upset paths include sharper-than-expected theater reductions, a sudden shift in audience engagement, or outsized competition that accelerates the usual late-run drop-off.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions