**Trader consensus on "Primetime"'s domestic opening weekend has coalesced around the 19-22M and 22M+ brackets, which together command roughly 68% implied probability.** This positioning stems primarily from strong critical reception following the film's Venice Film Festival premiere, where Robert Pattinson's lead performance as Chris Hansen and the movie's inventive visual style earned praise from outlets like Financial Times and ComingSoon for transforming the true-crime premise into a compelling psychological thriller. A24's marketing push and Pattinson's draw have lifted sentiment above earlier $10-15M tracking estimates, with guild and critics' awards momentum potentially amplifying word-of-mouth in a September frame featuring lighter competition. The September 25 release weekend serves as the immediate catalyst, as final three-day figures will resolve the market and test whether the current frontrunner range holds or if presale softness pulls results toward the lower 13-16M tier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於「黃金時段」開幕週末票房
「黃金時段」開幕週末票房
2200萬+ 40%
1900萬-2200萬 27%
1300萬-1600萬 15%
1,000萬-1,300萬 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
低於一千萬
7%
1,000萬-1,300萬
12%
1300萬-1600萬
18%
1600萬-1900萬
7%
1900萬-2200萬
27%
2200萬+
35%
2200萬+ 40%
1900萬-2200萬 27%
1300萬-1600萬 15%
1,000萬-1,300萬 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
低於一千萬
$136 交易量
7%
1,000萬-1,300萬
$71 交易量
12%
1300萬-1600萬
$242 交易量
18%
1600萬-1900萬
$40 交易量
7%
1900萬-2200萬
$80 交易量
27%
2200萬+
$691 交易量
35%
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on "Primetime"'s domestic opening weekend has coalesced around the 19-22M and 22M+ brackets, which together command roughly 68% implied probability.** This positioning stems primarily from strong critical reception following the film's Venice Film Festival premiere, where Robert Pattinson's lead performance as Chris Hansen and the movie's inventive visual style earned praise from outlets like Financial Times and ComingSoon for transforming the true-crime premise into a compelling psychological thriller. A24's marketing push and Pattinson's draw have lifted sentiment above earlier $10-15M tracking estimates, with guild and critics' awards momentum potentially amplifying word-of-mouth in a September frame featuring lighter competition. The September 25 release weekend serves as the immediate catalyst, as final three-day figures will resolve the market and test whether the current frontrunner range holds or if presale softness pulls results toward the lower 13-16M tier.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
交易量
$1,260結束日期
2026-09-27市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on "Primetime"'s domestic opening weekend has coalesced around the 19-22M and 22M+ brackets, which together command roughly 68% implied probability.** This positioning stems primarily from strong critical reception following the film's Venice Film Festival premiere, where Robert Pattinson's lead performance as Chris Hansen and the movie's inventive visual style earned praise from outlets like Financial Times and ComingSoon for transforming the true-crime premise into a compelling psychological thriller. A24's marketing push and Pattinson's draw have lifted sentiment above earlier $10-15M tracking estimates, with guild and critics' awards momentum potentially amplifying word-of-mouth in a September frame featuring lighter competition. The September 25 release weekend serves as the immediate catalyst, as final three-day figures will resolve the market and test whether the current frontrunner range holds or if presale softness pulls results toward the lower 13-16M tier.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$1,260結束日期
2026-09-27市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET**Trader consensus on "Primetime"'s domestic opening weekend has coalesced around the 19-22M and 22M+ brackets, which together command roughly 68% implied probability.** This positioning stems primarily from strong critical reception following the film's Venice Film Festival premiere, where Robert Pattinson's lead performance as Chris Hansen and the movie's inventive visual style earned praise from outlets like Financial Times and ComingSoon for transforming the true-crime premise into a compelling psychological thriller. A24's marketing push and Pattinson's draw have lifted sentiment above earlier $10-15M tracking estimates, with guild and critics' awards momentum potentially amplifying word-of-mouth in a September frame featuring lighter competition. The September 25 release weekend serves as the immediate catalyst, as final three-day figures will resolve the market and test whether the current frontrunner range holds or if presale softness pulls results toward the lower 13-16M tier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions