Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Muse 3.8%
Vinted <1%
ChatGPT <1%
TikTok Pro - Events <1%
$16,361 交易量
$16,361 交易量

ChatGPT
否
Vinted
否

TikTok Pro - Events
否

Google Gemini
否

Muse
否

Google 地圖
否

Polymarket
否
Muse 3.8%
Vinted <1%
ChatGPT <1%
TikTok Pro - Events <1%
$16,361 交易量
$16,361 交易量

ChatGPT
否
Vinted
否

TikTok Pro - Events
否

Google Gemini
否

Muse
否

Google 地圖
否

Polymarket
否
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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