The September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election produced preliminary results showing Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 8.9 percent and BSW at 5.3 percent, establishing a clear margin that underpins the near-certain trader consensus on Grüne receiving more votes. High turnout near 78 percent and consistent statewide tallies across 2,661 districts reinforced this positioning, with both parties clearing the five-percent threshold but Grüne securing substantially stronger support. The gap aligns with pre-election polling trends that narrowed only modestly in the final days. Official certification or minor adjustments in remaining counts represent the primary remaining variables, though the existing difference makes reversal improbable absent widespread discrepancies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於綠黨
$23,429 交易量
$23,429 交易量
綠黨
$23,429 交易量
$23,429 交易量
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
已提議結果: 綠黨
無爭議
最終結果: 綠黨
This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
已提議結果: 綠黨
無爭議
最終結果: 綠黨
The September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election produced preliminary results showing Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 8.9 percent and BSW at 5.3 percent, establishing a clear margin that underpins the near-certain trader consensus on Grüne receiving more votes. High turnout near 78 percent and consistent statewide tallies across 2,661 districts reinforced this positioning, with both parties clearing the five-percent threshold but Grüne securing substantially stronger support. The gap aligns with pre-election polling trends that narrowed only modestly in the final days. Official certification or minor adjustments in remaining counts represent the primary remaining variables, though the existing difference makes reversal improbable absent widespread discrepancies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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