**"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and exceeding even bullish pre-release tracking.** Strong word-of-mouth, minimal near-term competition, and robust Monday numbers (including a record single-day haul) have propelled the Tom Holland-led film past $407 million domestically within its first week, with worldwide totals already exceeding $1 billion. This momentum underpins the 83.4% market-implied probability on a $900 million+ domestic finish by August 31, as the film’s early pace and franchise appeal position it for substantial legs over the remaining three-plus weeks. Lower brackets reflect limited downside risk given the verified opening strength and positive critical/industry reception. Traders are pricing in continued strong performance through the August window, consistent with historical patterns for top-tier superhero launches with similar starts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《蜘蛛人：全新一天》8月31日前國內總值？
《蜘蛛人：全新一天》8月31日前國內總值？
9億美元以上 83.3%
8億 - 9億 15%
7億 - 8億 2.5%
6億 - 7億 <1%
$309,718 交易量
$309,718 交易量
2026-08-31
少於4億美元
<1%
4億 - 5億
<1%
5億 - 6億
1%
6億 - 7億
1%
7億 - 8億
3%
8億 - 9億
15%
9億美元以上
83%
9億美元以上 83.3%
8億 - 9億 15%
7億 - 8億 2.5%
6億 - 7億 <1%
$309,718 交易量
$309,718 交易量
2026-08-31
少於4億美元
$5,823 交易量
<1%
4億 - 5億
$17,629 交易量
<1%
5億 - 6億
$23,906 交易量
1%
6億 - 7億
$23,649 交易量
1%
7億 - 8億
$20,843 交易量
3%
8億 - 9億
$29,549 交易量
15%
9億美元以上
$188,320 交易量
83%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and exceeding even bullish pre-release tracking.** Strong word-of-mouth, minimal near-term competition, and robust Monday numbers (including a record single-day haul) have propelled the Tom Holland-led film past $407 million domestically within its first week, with worldwide totals already exceeding $1 billion.
This momentum underpins the 83.4% market-implied probability on a $900 million+ domestic finish by August 31, as the film’s early pace and franchise appeal position it for substantial legs over the remaining three-plus weeks. Lower brackets reflect limited downside risk given the verified opening strength and positive critical/industry reception. Traders are pricing in continued strong performance through the August window, consistent with historical patterns for top-tier superhero launches with similar starts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$309,718結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and exceeding even bullish pre-release tracking.** Strong word-of-mouth, minimal near-term competition, and robust Monday numbers (including a record single-day haul) have propelled the Tom Holland-led film past $407 million domestically within its first week, with worldwide totals already exceeding $1 billion.
This momentum underpins the 83.4% market-implied probability on a $900 million+ domestic finish by August 31, as the film’s early pace and franchise appeal position it for substantial legs over the remaining three-plus weeks. Lower brackets reflect limited downside risk given the verified opening strength and positive critical/industry reception. Traders are pricing in continued strong performance through the August window, consistent with historical patterns for top-tier superhero launches with similar starts.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$309,718結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and exceeding even bullish pre-release tracking.** Strong word-of-mouth, minimal near-term competition, and robust Monday numbers (including a record single-day haul) have propelled the Tom Holland-led film past $407 million domestically within its first week, with worldwide totals already exceeding $1 billion. This momentum underpins the 83.4% market-implied probability on a $900 million+ domestic finish by August 31, as the film’s early pace and franchise appeal position it for substantial legs over the remaining three-plus weeks. Lower brackets reflect limited downside risk given the verified opening strength and positive critical/industry reception. Traders are pricing in continued strong performance through the August window, consistent with historical patterns for top-tier superhero launches with similar starts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions