President Trump’s push for expanded U.S. influence over Greenland through enhanced military access and mineral rights has produced ongoing diplomatic talks with Denmark, yet Copenhagen and Nuuk continue to reject any transfer of sovereignty. Following January 2026 tensions that included tariff threats and a subsequent “framework” announcement with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, discussions have remained at the level of security cooperation under existing 1951 treaty arrangements rather than a formal ownership agreement. As of mid-May 2026, no breakthrough has occurred that would meet the June 30 signing deadline, leaving trader consensus heavily weighted toward no resolution by that date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$13,527 交易量
$13,527 交易量
$13,527 交易量
$13,527 交易量
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s push for expanded U.S. influence over Greenland through enhanced military access and mineral rights has produced ongoing diplomatic talks with Denmark, yet Copenhagen and Nuuk continue to reject any transfer of sovereignty. Following January 2026 tensions that included tariff threats and a subsequent “framework” announcement with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, discussions have remained at the level of security cooperation under existing 1951 treaty arrangements rather than a formal ownership agreement. As of mid-May 2026, no breakthrough has occurred that would meet the June 30 signing deadline, leaving trader consensus heavily weighted toward no resolution by that date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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