**Legislation authorizing a new $250 denomination and an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons appearing on U.S. currency has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee since its February 2025 introduction by Rep. Joe Wilson.** Treasury officials conducted preliminary design work and confirmed planning in May 2026 ahead of the semiquincentennial, but any issuance requires both chambers to pass and the president to sign changes to federal law, followed by lengthy Bureau of Engraving and Printing production timelines. With the July 4, 2026 anniversary now passed and no floor votes or committee advancement reported, traders assign 97.5% probability to “No.” Late-session reconciliation or an unexpected procedural maneuver before year-end could still alter the outcome, though both face steep institutional and calendar barriers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3% 機率
$31,676 交易量
$31,676 交易量
2026-12-30
3% 機率
$31,676 交易量
$31,676 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Legislation authorizing a new $250 denomination and an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons appearing on U.S. currency has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee since its February 2025 introduction by Rep. Joe Wilson.** Treasury officials conducted preliminary design work and confirmed planning in May 2026 ahead of the semiquincentennial, but any issuance requires both chambers to pass and the president to sign changes to federal law, followed by lengthy Bureau of Engraving and Printing production timelines. With the July 4, 2026 anniversary now passed and no floor votes or committee advancement reported, traders assign 97.5% probability to “No.” Late-session reconciliation or an unexpected procedural maneuver before year-end could still alter the outcome, though both face steep institutional and calendar barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
交易量
$31,676結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Legislation authorizing a new $250 denomination and an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons appearing on U.S. currency has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee since its February 2025 introduction by Rep. Joe Wilson.** Treasury officials conducted preliminary design work and confirmed planning in May 2026 ahead of the semiquincentennial, but any issuance requires both chambers to pass and the president to sign changes to federal law, followed by lengthy Bureau of Engraving and Printing production timelines. With the July 4, 2026 anniversary now passed and no floor votes or committee advancement reported, traders assign 97.5% probability to “No.” Late-session reconciliation or an unexpected procedural maneuver before year-end could still alter the outcome, though both face steep institutional and calendar barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$31,676結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET**Legislation authorizing a new $250 denomination and an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons appearing on U.S. currency has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee since its February 2025 introduction by Rep. Joe Wilson.** Treasury officials conducted preliminary design work and confirmed planning in May 2026 ahead of the semiquincentennial, but any issuance requires both chambers to pass and the president to sign changes to federal law, followed by lengthy Bureau of Engraving and Printing production timelines. With the July 4, 2026 anniversary now passed and no floor votes or committee advancement reported, traders assign 97.5% probability to “No.” Late-session reconciliation or an unexpected procedural maneuver before year-end could still alter the outcome, though both face steep institutional and calendar barriers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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