Recent Trump-Xi summit talks in mid-May produced commitments for Chinese purchases of U.S. aircraft, agricultural goods, and energy products while establishing a new Board of Trade mechanism, yet yielded only preliminary discussions on limited tariff relief for select non-sensitive items rather than a comprehensive bilateral accord. With the prior October truce set for extension rather than overhaul and no further high-level meetings scheduled before month-end, trader consensus reflects the absence of concrete steps sufficient to resolve core tariff disputes in the narrow remaining window. Structural barriers including national security concerns and differing priorities on trade imbalances continue to constrain rapid progress.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$71,059 交易量
$71,059 交易量
2026-05-31
$71,059 交易量
$71,059 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent Trump-Xi summit talks in mid-May produced commitments for Chinese purchases of U.S. aircraft, agricultural goods, and energy products while establishing a new Board of Trade mechanism, yet yielded only preliminary discussions on limited tariff relief for select non-sensitive items rather than a comprehensive bilateral accord. With the prior October truce set for extension rather than overhaul and no further high-level meetings scheduled before month-end, trader consensus reflects the absence of concrete steps sufficient to resolve core tariff disputes in the narrow remaining window. Structural barriers including national security concerns and differing priorities on trade imbalances continue to constrain rapid progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$71,059結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent Trump-Xi summit talks in mid-May produced commitments for Chinese purchases of U.S. aircraft, agricultural goods, and energy products while establishing a new Board of Trade mechanism, yet yielded only preliminary discussions on limited tariff relief for select non-sensitive items rather than a comprehensive bilateral accord. With the prior October truce set for extension rather than overhaul and no further high-level meetings scheduled before month-end, trader consensus reflects the absence of concrete steps sufficient to resolve core tariff disputes in the narrow remaining window. Structural barriers including national security concerns and differing priorities on trade imbalances continue to constrain rapid progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$71,059結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Trump-Xi summit talks in mid-May produced commitments for Chinese purchases of U.S. aircraft, agricultural goods, and energy products while establishing a new Board of Trade mechanism, yet yielded only preliminary discussions on limited tariff relief for select non-sensitive items rather than a comprehensive bilateral accord. With the prior October truce set for extension rather than overhaul and no further high-level meetings scheduled before month-end, trader consensus reflects the absence of concrete steps sufficient to resolve core tariff disputes in the narrow remaining window. Structural barriers including national security concerns and differing priorities on trade imbalances continue to constrain rapid progress.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions