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icon for 誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？
政治·主要

誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？

icon for 誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？
政治·主要

誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？

$193,149 交易量

2026-08-18
Polymarket

$193,149 交易量

Polymarket

湯姆·貝吉奇

$11,410 交易量

95%

Bernadette Wilson

$14,095 交易量

74%

Click Bishop

$40,579 交易量

57%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$2,411 交易量

57%

Matt Claman

$26,758 交易量

43%

戴夫·布朗森

$2,121 交易量

37%

Treg Taylor

$56,316 交易量

33%

南希·達爾斯特倫

$12,086 交易量

17%

Hank Kroll

$789 交易量

13%

馬特·海拉拉

$3,004 交易量

13%

詹姆斯·帕金

$1,728 交易量

7%

布魯斯·沃爾登

$2,095 交易量

5%

亞當·克拉姆

$5,430 交易量

5%

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$11,990 交易量

5%

雪莉·休斯

$2,338 交易量

4%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska's 2026 gubernatorial contest features a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that will advance the highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general election. Former state senator Tom Begich leads recent polling among a field that includes more than a dozen Republicans such as Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Nancy Dahlstrom, Adam Crum, and Bernadette Wilson, plus additional Democrats and independents. The first candidate debate occurred in mid-May, giving voters an early look at platforms on state revenue, energy policy, and public safety. With the filing deadline set for June 1 and no incumbent on the ballot after Mike Dunleavy reached term limits, the primary outcome hinges on vote consolidation within the Republican majority and turnout among Democratic and independent voters.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$193,149
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska's 2026 gubernatorial contest features a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that will advance the highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general election. Former state senator Tom Begich leads recent polling among a field that includes more than a dozen Republicans such as Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Nancy Dahlstrom, Adam Crum, and Bernadette Wilson, plus additional Democrats and independents. The first candidate debate occurred in mid-May, giving voters an early look at platforms on state revenue, energy policy, and public safety. With the filing deadline set for June 1 and no incumbent on the ballot after Mike Dunleavy reached term limits, the primary outcome hinges on vote consolidation within the Republican majority and turnout among Democratic and independent voters.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$193,149
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 95%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 74%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" has generated $193.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 74%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.