誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？

Name: 誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？
Start: 2026-01-06T19:06:12.711Z
End: 2026-07-30T00:00:00.000Z

$522,868 交易量

2026-07-30

洪旺

$75,048 交易量

56%

Jack Thorne

$100,588 交易量

54%

雅各布·齊默爾曼

$54,118 交易量

59%

約翰·帕登

$84,343 交易量

41%

鄧煜

$116,940 交易量

30%

朱利安·薩哈斯拉布德

$84,557 交易量

27%

薩姆·拉斯金

$2,573 交易量

21%

亞歷山大·洛古諾夫

$215 交易量

20%

威爾·薩溫

$3,947 交易量

25%

亞歷山大·葉菲莫夫

$540 交易量

10%

$522,868 交易量

洪旺

$75,048 交易量

56%

Jack Thorne

$100,588 交易量

54%

雅各布·齊默爾曼

$54,118 交易量

59%

約翰·帕登

$84,343 交易量

41%

鄧煜

$116,940 交易量

30%

朱利安·薩哈斯拉布德

$84,557 交易量

27%

薩姆·拉斯金

$2,573 交易量

21%

亞歷山大·洛古諾夫

$215 交易量

20%

威爾·薩溫

$3,947 交易量

25%

亞歷山大·葉菲莫夫

$540 交易量

10%

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "雅各布·齊默爾曼" at 59%, followed by "洪旺" at 56%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？" has generated $522.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？" is "雅各布·齊默爾曼" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "洪旺" at 56%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $522.9K traded on “誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 59¢ for "雅各布·齊默爾曼" in the "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 59% chance that "雅各布·齊默爾曼" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 59¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 41¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jul 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？

誰將贏得2026年菲爾茲獎章？

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Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 59¢ for "雅各布·齊默爾曼" mean?

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