Apple’s decision to deprioritize mixed-reality headsets in favor of lighter smart glasses has anchored trader sentiment, with Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reporting in mid-2026 that a full Vision Pro successor remains on ice. Resources have shifted after the modest M5 hardware refresh in late 2025, the cancellation of the cheaper Vision Air variant, and persistent challenges around weight, cost, and consumer adoption of the original $3,499 model. Development timelines now point to a possible late-2028 or 2029 launch at earliest, well beyond 2026. While recent macOS code leaks hint at continued internal work on a related codename, no official announcements, supply-chain signals, or regulatory filings support a 2026 release. An unforeseen component breakthrough or accelerated testing could still compress the schedule, though current evidence makes that scenario remote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
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A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s decision to deprioritize mixed-reality headsets in favor of lighter smart glasses has anchored trader sentiment, with Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reporting in mid-2026 that a full Vision Pro successor remains on ice. Resources have shifted after the modest M5 hardware refresh in late 2025, the cancellation of the cheaper Vision Air variant, and persistent challenges around weight, cost, and consumer adoption of the original $3,499 model. Development timelines now point to a possible late-2028 or 2029 launch at earliest, well beyond 2026. While recent macOS code leaks hint at continued internal work on a related codename, no official announcements, supply-chain signals, or regulatory filings support a 2026 release. An unforeseen component breakthrough or accelerated testing could still compress the schedule, though current evidence makes that scenario remote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题