Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside KNMI guidance, show Amsterdam under high pressure with southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of June 21, supporting daily maxima near 26–28°C. Model consensus clusters around 27°C, with limited spread arising from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passages that could cap or enhance daytime heating. Near-solstice insolation provides ample energy for warming if skies remain mostly clear, while typical June climatology (average highs ~19–21°C) underscores the anomalous warmth already implied. Trader focus on the 28–29°C band reflects minor upside risks in latest runs, tempered by potential for greater mixing or scattered convection that could trim the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 21?
27°C 38%
28°C 33%
29°C 16%
26°C 9%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
38%
28°C
33%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 38%
28°C 33%
29°C 16%
26°C 9%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
38%
28°C
33%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside KNMI guidance, show Amsterdam under high pressure with southerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of June 21, supporting daily maxima near 26–28°C. Model consensus clusters around 27°C, with limited spread arising from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passages that could cap or enhance daytime heating. Near-solstice insolation provides ample energy for warming if skies remain mostly clear, while typical June climatology (average highs ~19–21°C) underscores the anomalous warmth already implied. Trader focus on the 28–29°C band reflects minor upside risks in latest runs, tempered by potential for greater mixing or scattered convection that could trim the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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