Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on July 8?
29°C 47%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
31°C 3.8%
$12,322 交易量
$12,322 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
21%
29°C
47%
30°C
27%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 27%
28°C 21%
31°C 3.8%
$12,322 交易量
$12,322 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
21%
29°C
47%
30°C
27%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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