Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on July 9?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 9?
31°C 39%
30°C 37%
29°C 12%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-09
28°C or below
5%
29°C
12%
30°C
37%
31°C
39%
32°C
10%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 37%
29°C 12%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-09
28°C or below
$64 交易量
5%
29°C
$108 交易量
12%
30°C
$107 交易量
37%
31°C
$190 交易量
39%
32°C
$152 交易量
10%
33°C
$111 交易量
1%
34°C
$107 交易量
1%
35°C
$50 交易量
1%
36°C
$128 交易量
<1%
37°C
$42 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$51 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,110结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,110结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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