The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月12日奥斯汀的最高温度？
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F或以下 <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,562 交易量
$37,562 交易量
2026-09-12
91°F或以下
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
是
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106-107°F
否
108-109°F
否
110°F或更高
否
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F或以下 <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,562 交易量
$37,562 交易量
2026-09-12
91°F或以下
$389 交易量
否
92-93°F
$438 交易量
否
94-95°F
$1,232 交易量
否
96-97°F
$1,133 交易量
否
98-99°F
$6,159 交易量
否
100-101°F
$9,556 交易量
是
102-103°F
$10,379 交易量
否
104-105°F
$5,056 交易量
否
106-107°F
$2,523 交易量
否
108-109°F
$276 交易量
否
110°F或更高
$421 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$37,562结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,562结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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