Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥7月23日最高气温？
芝加哥7月23日最高气温？
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
67华氏度或更低
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
1%
86°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 35%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
67华氏度或更低
$133 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$235 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$44 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$119 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$250 交易量
7%
76-77°F
$303 交易量
35%
78-79°F
$124 交易量
39%
80-81°F
$51 交易量
19%
82-83°F
$36 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$33 交易量
1%
86°F或更高
$150 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,478结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,478结束日期
2026-07-23市场开放时间
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETTraders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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