Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a Wednesday high near 73–75°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies, driving the market’s tight clustering around 72–75°F outcomes. This reflects cooling after Tuesday’s 86–87°F peak as a front passes and high pressure builds, limiting afternoon mixing and moisture. Model consensus supports this range, though minor differences in wind timing or cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. Traders weigh these official guidance shifts against historical July variability, with resolution hinging on the day’s verified peak reading. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日芝加哥的最高温度?
72-73°F 47%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 6.4%
63华氏度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 47%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 6.4%
63华氏度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a Wednesday high near 73–75°F in Chicago under mostly sunny skies, driving the market’s tight clustering around 72–75°F outcomes. This reflects cooling after Tuesday’s 86–87°F peak as a front passes and high pressure builds, limiting afternoon mixing and moisture. Model consensus supports this range, though minor differences in wind timing or cloud cover introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. Traders weigh these official guidance shifts against historical July variability, with resolution hinging on the day’s verified peak reading. Updated NWS model runs and afternoon observations remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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