Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami will experience typical mid-summer conditions on July 22, with afternoon highs supported by subtropical moisture, light winds, and sea-breeze effects that moderate extremes. Historical July averages near 90–92°F align with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustering on 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited potential for significant deviation. Afternoon convection may cap peak readings, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could nudge values slightly lower. Updated model runs and the final official observation will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日迈阿密气温最高?
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 3.3%
$12,214 交易量
$12,214 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
华氏100度或更高
<1%
92-93°F 56%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 3.3%
$12,214 交易量
$12,214 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
华氏100度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Miami will experience typical mid-summer conditions on July 22, with afternoon highs supported by subtropical moisture, light winds, and sea-breeze effects that moderate extremes. Historical July averages near 90–92°F align with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustering on 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing limited potential for significant deviation. Afternoon convection may cap peak readings, while any delay in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could nudge values slightly lower. Updated model runs and the final official observation will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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