Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 23, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 12–14°C outcomes. Mild mid-winter conditions, typical southeasterly flow, and limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover keep peak temperatures close to the long-term July average of 14–15°C. Minor model spread arises from timing of any weak frontal boundary or wind shifts that could nudge the high by 1°C either way, while official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine resolution. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical analogs showing infrequent excursions above 16°C this time of year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月23日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
13°C 37%
14°C 26%
12°C 23%
15°C 12%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
23%
13°C
37%
14°C
26%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 37%
14°C 26%
12°C 23%
15°C 12%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
23%
13°C
37%
14°C
26%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 23, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 12–14°C outcomes. Mild mid-winter conditions, typical southeasterly flow, and limited diurnal heating under variable cloud cover keep peak temperatures close to the long-term July average of 14–15°C. Minor model spread arises from timing of any weak frontal boundary or wind shifts that could nudge the high by 1°C either way, while official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine resolution. Traders weigh these near-term variables against historical analogs showing infrequent excursions above 16°C this time of year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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