Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
7月22日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
13°C 39%
14°C 31%
12°C 21%
15°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
31%
15°C
9%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
14°C 31%
12°C 21%
15°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
9°C or below
$232 交易量
<1%
10°C
$148 交易量
1%
11°C
$484 交易量
5%
12°C
$1,813 交易量
21%
13°C
$395 交易量
39%
14°C
$216 交易量
31%
15°C
$257 交易量
9%
16°C
$460 交易量
2%
17°C
$189 交易量
<1%
18°C
$294 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$176 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$4,663结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,663结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETForecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and global ensembles indicate a highest temperature on July 22 near 13–14 °C, consistent with mid-winter climatology for Buenos Aires where average daily maxima hover around 14 °C. Trader consensus clusters on these values because recent surface analyses show stable, cool southerly flow with limited warm-air advection from the north and modest cloud cover moderating daytime heating. Differentiating 13 °C from 14 °C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal positioning, and local urban heat effects; stronger winds or clearer skies could push readings slightly higher, while increased moisture or a weak cold surge would favor the lower end. Historical July extremes rarely exceed 18 °C or fall below 10 °C, reinforcing the narrow probability band reflected in current market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题