Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月12日米兰最高气温？
7月12日米兰最高气温？
33°C 37%
32°C 34%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
34%
33°C
37%
34°C
19%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
32°C 34%
34°C 19%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
28°C or below
$101 交易量
<1%
29°C
$78 交易量
<1%
30°C
$158 交易量
3%
31°C
$163 交易量
9%
32°C
$80 交易量
34%
33°C
$48 交易量
37%
34°C
$57 交易量
19%
35°C
$43 交易量
4%
36°C
$40 交易量
1%
37°C
$271 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,299结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,299结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from major European models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on July 12 will most likely fall between 32–34 °C, driven by advection of warmer subtropical air under predominantly clear to broken cloud conditions. Subtle differences in forecast timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development can shift the exact daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Official resolution will rely on verified readings from stations such as Milan Malpensa or Linate, consistent with historical July variability where highs average near 29–31 °C but can exceed 33 °C during warm episodes. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes because model ensembles show limited spread around these values ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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