Forecast model ensembles for Panama City on July 10 show high uncertainty around the daily maximum, with guidance clustering near 29–31°C amid the ongoing wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity frequently caps peak readings through cloud cover and scattered showers, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed onset of rain could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher. Recent satellite and surface observations indicate typical early-July conditions with sea-surface temperatures supporting above-normal moisture but limited large-scale subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly across the leading bins, reflecting the narrow historical range and sensitivity to short-term steering patterns. Updated regional model runs and official Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance expected overnight will likely refine the most probable outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on July 10?
31°C 36%
30°C 27%
32°C 18.9%
29°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
27%
31°C
36%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 27%
32°C 18.9%
29°C 9%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
27%
31°C
36%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast model ensembles for Panama City on July 10 show high uncertainty around the daily maximum, with guidance clustering near 29–31°C amid the ongoing wet season. Afternoon convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone and high humidity frequently caps peak readings through cloud cover and scattered showers, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed onset of rain could allow brief warming to 32°C or higher. Recent satellite and surface observations indicate typical early-July conditions with sea-surface temperatures supporting above-normal moisture but limited large-scale subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly across the leading bins, reflecting the narrow historical range and sensitivity to short-term steering patterns. Updated regional model runs and official Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá guidance expected overnight will likely refine the most probable outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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