Recent forecast guidance from ensemble models highlights light rain and widespread cloud cover expected over Qingdao on July 17, suppressing daytime insolation and holding the daily maximum near 24–26 °C amid moderate easterly flow off the Yellow Sea. This coastal marine influence consistently tempers summer peaks relative to inland Shandong sites, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. July climatology averages 27–28 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will determine whether any clearing allows readings to reach 28 °C or keeps them capped below 25 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月17日青岛气温最高?
25°C 31%
24°C 26%
26°C 24%
27°C 16%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
26%
25°C
31%
26°C
24%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C或更高
1%
25°C 31%
24°C 26%
26°C 24%
27°C 16%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
26%
25°C
31%
26°C
24%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from ensemble models highlights light rain and widespread cloud cover expected over Qingdao on July 17, suppressing daytime insolation and holding the daily maximum near 24–26 °C amid moderate easterly flow off the Yellow Sea. This coastal marine influence consistently tempers summer peaks relative to inland Shandong sites, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. July climatology averages 27–28 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will determine whether any clearing allows readings to reach 28 °C or keeps them capped below 25 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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