Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Busan’s July 17 maximum likely falling between 28–32°C amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions, with thundershowers and overcast skies potentially capping peaks near 29–30°C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity moderate daytime highs compared to inland areas, while model runs show sensitivity to cloud cover and precipitation timing that can suppress or allow brief warming. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because historical July averages hover near 29°C and current guidance reflects modest day-to-day variability rather than extreme heat or sustained clearing. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift probabilities within the narrow favored range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月17日釜山气温最高?
31°C 29%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
29°C 19%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
19%
30°C
23%
31°C
29%
32°C
17%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C或以上
3%
31°C 29%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
29°C 19%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
19%
30°C
23%
31°C
29%
32°C
17%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Busan’s July 17 maximum likely falling between 28–32°C amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions, with thundershowers and overcast skies potentially capping peaks near 29–30°C. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity moderate daytime highs compared to inland areas, while model runs show sensitivity to cloud cover and precipitation timing that can suppress or allow brief warming. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because historical July averages hover near 29°C and current guidance reflects modest day-to-day variability rather than extreme heat or sustained clearing. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles ahead of the date remain key variables that could shift probabilities within the narrow favored range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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