Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on July 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 1?
66-67°F 34%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
59°F or below
2%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 34%
64-65°F 26%
68-69°F 18%
62-63°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-01
59°F or below
$18 交易量
2%
60-61°F
$19 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$15 交易量
14%
64-65°F
$87 交易量
26%
66-67°F
$106 交易量
34%
68-69°F
$284 交易量
18%
70-71°F
$1 交易量
6%
72-73°F
$655 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$1,020 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$316 交易量
1%
78°F or higher
$140 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$2,660结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,660结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 67°F for Seattle on July 1, driven by persistent marine air influence from the Pacific, increasing cloud cover, and southwesterly flow limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s peak implied probability on the 66-67°F bin. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing (which could add 2-4°F), boundary-layer moisture levels, and minor shifts in the thermal trough position. Historical early-July climatology shows averages near 74°F, yet recent cool anomalies and the Almanac’s “cool, isolated showers” outlook for July 1-6 support the compressed distribution traders have priced, with tails reflecting model spread on cloud timing and weak onshore surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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