Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月12日上海气温最高？
7月12日上海气温最高？
30°C 33%
29°C 26%
31°C 25%
32°C 8.9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
25%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
29°C 26%
31°C 25%
32°C 8.9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
25°C or below
$330 交易量
<1%
26°C
$105 交易量
1%
27°C
$482 交易量
1%
28°C
$411 交易量
8%
29°C
$273 交易量
26%
30°C
$104 交易量
33%
31°C
$108 交易量
25%
32°C
$708 交易量
9%
33°C
$80 交易量
5%
34°C
$185 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,795结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,795结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETForecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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