Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月12日东京气温最高？
7月12日东京气温最高？
29°C 40%
28°C 35%
30°C 16%
27°C 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
35%
29°C
40%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
28°C 35%
30°C 16%
27°C 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
23°C or below
$510 交易量
<1%
24°C
$440 交易量
<1%
25°C
$123 交易量
<1%
26°C
$187 交易量
1%
27°C
$220 交易量
6%
28°C
$1,730 交易量
35%
29°C
$1,519 交易量
40%
30°C
$445 交易量
16%
31°C
$173 交易量
5%
32°C
$149 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$255 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,749结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,749结束日期
2026-07-12市场开放时间
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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