The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has become the main driver behind the 55% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already cleared 50 continuous hours at human speed using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, well beyond the original eight-hour target and with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, backed by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has reinforced trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Uncertainty around gripper wear and planned battery swaps keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 32.5%, with the May 21 resolution depending on whether the stream stays uninterrupted.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于200小时+ 57%
100-200小时 36%
50-100小时 11%
$68,645 交易量
$68,645 交易量
2026-05-21
50-100小时
11%
100-200小时
34%
200小时+
57%
200小时+ 57%
100-200小时 36%
50-100小时 11%
$68,645 交易量
$68,645 交易量
2026-05-21
50-100小时
$3,776 交易量
11%
100-200小时
$2,618 交易量
34%
200小时+
$10,446 交易量
57%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has become the main driver behind the 55% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already cleared 50 continuous hours at human speed using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, well beyond the original eight-hour target and with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, backed by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has reinforced trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Uncertainty around gripper wear and planned battery swaps keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 32.5%, with the May 21 resolution depending on whether the stream stays uninterrupted.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$68,645结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has become the main driver behind the 55% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already cleared 50 continuous hours at human speed using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, well beyond the original eight-hour target and with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, backed by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has reinforced trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Uncertainty around gripper wear and planned battery swaps keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 32.5%, with the May 21 resolution depending on whether the stream stays uninterrupted.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$68,645结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has become the main driver behind the 55% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already cleared 50 continuous hours at human speed using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, well beyond the original eight-hour target and with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, backed by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and extensive stress testing, has reinforced trader confidence in high mean-time-between-failures. Uncertainty around gripper wear and planned battery swaps keeps the 100-200-hour bracket at 32.5%, with the May 21 resolution depending on whether the stream stays uninterrupted.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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