The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots performing autonomous package sorting has emerged as the primary catalyst behind the 68.5% market-implied odds for a 200-hour-plus runtime without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Remaining uncertainty centers on gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps, which sustains the 21.0% probability for the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于200小时+ 69%
100-200小时 23%
50-100小时 8%
$68,981 交易量
$68,981 交易量
2026-05-21
50-100小时
8%
100-200小时
23%
200小时+
69%
200小时+ 69%
100-200小时 23%
50-100小时 8%
$68,981 交易量
$68,981 交易量
2026-05-21
50-100小时
$3,954 交易量
8%
100-200小时
$2,628 交易量
23%
200小时+
$10,594 交易量
69%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots performing autonomous package sorting has emerged as the primary catalyst behind the 68.5% market-implied odds for a 200-hour-plus runtime without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Remaining uncertainty centers on gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps, which sustains the 21.0% probability for the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$68,981结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots performing autonomous package sorting has emerged as the primary catalyst behind the 68.5% market-implied odds for a 200-hour-plus runtime without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Remaining uncertainty centers on gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps, which sustains the 21.0% probability for the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$68,981结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots performing autonomous package sorting has emerged as the primary catalyst behind the 68.5% market-implied odds for a 200-hour-plus runtime without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours at human parity speeds using the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions. April’s 24x manufacturing ramp to one robot per hour, supported by more than 1,250 cumulative runtime hours and rigorous stress testing, has strengthened trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Remaining uncertainty centers on gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps, which sustains the 21.0% probability for the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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