Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, during the early phase of the 2026 Iran war, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in a March vote. The new leader has not appeared publicly since, with conflicting reports on his health following injuries sustained in the strikes and limited evidence of his operational role. President Masoud Pezeshkian has affirmed Mojtaba Khamenei’s fitness, while U.S. officials note indications of increasing engagement. Ongoing conflict dynamics, IRGC influence, domestic unrest, and potential further disruptions to the clerical-military balance continue to shape assessments of additional leadership shifts before any market resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,608,557 交易量
2027-06-30
8月22日
<1%
8月31日
1%
9月30日
5%
10月31日
8%
11月30日
11%
12月31日
17%
2027年6月30日
26%
$23,608,557 交易量
8月22日
$58,081 交易量
<1%
8月31日
$1,176,985 交易量
1%
9月30日
$464,388 交易量
5%
10月31日
$13,961 交易量
8%
11月30日
$12,278 交易量
11%
12月31日
$4,033,476 交易量
17%
2027年6月30日
$241,196 交易量
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, during the early phase of the 2026 Iran war, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in a March vote. The new leader has not appeared publicly since, with conflicting reports on his health following injuries sustained in the strikes and limited evidence of his operational role. President Masoud Pezeshkian has affirmed Mojtaba Khamenei’s fitness, while U.S. officials note indications of increasing engagement. Ongoing conflict dynamics, IRGC influence, domestic unrest, and potential further disruptions to the clerical-military balance continue to shape assessments of additional leadership shifts before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
交易量
$23,608,557结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, during the early phase of the 2026 Iran war, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in a March vote. The new leader has not appeared publicly since, with conflicting reports on his health following injuries sustained in the strikes and limited evidence of his operational role. President Masoud Pezeshkian has affirmed Mojtaba Khamenei’s fitness, while U.S. officials note indications of increasing engagement. Ongoing conflict dynamics, IRGC influence, domestic unrest, and potential further disruptions to the clerical-military balance continue to shape assessments of additional leadership shifts before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$23,608,557结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, during the early phase of the 2026 Iran war, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in a March vote. The new leader has not appeared publicly since, with conflicting reports on his health following injuries sustained in the strikes and limited evidence of his operational role. President Masoud Pezeshkian has affirmed Mojtaba Khamenei’s fitness, while U.S. officials note indications of increasing engagement. Ongoing conflict dynamics, IRGC influence, domestic unrest, and potential further disruptions to the clerical-military balance continue to shape assessments of additional leadership shifts before any market resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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