Google's May 2026 I/O keynote set the dominant driver for current odds by confirming the Gemini 3.5 Pro launch would follow the already-shipped 3.5 Flash variant within one month. As of mid-June the Pro model remains in internal testing with no new official timeline or changelog entry, prompting traders to weigh Google's typical preview-to-general-availability cadence against the explicit "next month" commitment. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic's stronger enterprise momentum and benchmark leadership adds urgency for Google to deliver soon, while any API deprecation notices or developer conference updates could shift sentiment before month-end resolution windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$195,399 交易量
2026-07-24
July 10
<1%
July 17
10%
July 24
25%
July 31
78%
$195,399 交易量
July 10
$17,238 交易量
<1%
July 17
$9,723 交易量
10%
July 24
$7,401 交易量
25%
July 31
$47,795 交易量
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 2026 I/O keynote set the dominant driver for current odds by confirming the Gemini 3.5 Pro launch would follow the already-shipped 3.5 Flash variant within one month. As of mid-June the Pro model remains in internal testing with no new official timeline or changelog entry, prompting traders to weigh Google's typical preview-to-general-availability cadence against the explicit "next month" commitment. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic's stronger enterprise momentum and benchmark leadership adds urgency for Google to deliver soon, while any API deprecation notices or developer conference updates could shift sentiment before month-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 26, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
交易量
$195,399结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 2026 I/O keynote set the dominant driver for current odds by confirming the Gemini 3.5 Pro launch would follow the already-shipped 3.5 Flash variant within one month. As of mid-June the Pro model remains in internal testing with no new official timeline or changelog entry, prompting traders to weigh Google's typical preview-to-general-availability cadence against the explicit "next month" commitment. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic's stronger enterprise momentum and benchmark leadership adds urgency for Google to deliver soon, while any API deprecation notices or developer conference updates could shift sentiment before month-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$195,399结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's May 2026 I/O keynote set the dominant driver for current odds by confirming the Gemini 3.5 Pro launch would follow the already-shipped 3.5 Flash variant within one month. As of mid-June the Pro model remains in internal testing with no new official timeline or changelog entry, prompting traders to weigh Google's typical preview-to-general-availability cadence against the explicit "next month" commitment. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic's stronger enterprise momentum and benchmark leadership adds urgency for Google to deliver soon, while any API deprecation notices or developer conference updates could shift sentiment before month-end resolution windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题