Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 86%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元 10%
190-200m 3.5%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元 1.0%
$17,481 交易量
$17,481 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
86%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元
10%
190-200m
4%
2亿-2.1亿美元
1%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元
1%
2.2亿+
<1%
<180m 86%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元 10%
190-200m 3.5%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元 1.0%
$17,481 交易量
$17,481 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
$10,049 交易量
86%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元
$1,091 交易量
10%
190-200m
$1,380 交易量
4%
2亿-2.1亿美元
$1,061 交易量
1%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元
$1,282 交易量
1%
2.2亿+
$2,617 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$17,481结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$17,481结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Massive domestic opening of roughly $360 million, the biggest ever, has established strong trader consensus around a robust but sub-$180 million second weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and limited immediate competition support a potential record sophomore frame, yet typical 50-60% drops for tentpoles position the under-$180 million outcome as the clear frontrunner at over 85% implied probability. Recent global milestones, including crossing $1 billion in under a week, reinforce sustained audience interest ahead of the August 9-11 frame, though historical patterns for similar blockbusters limit upside scenarios above $190 million.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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