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icon for 特朗普下令在5月31日之前对人工智能模型发布进行联邦审查?

特朗普下令在5月31日之前对人工智能模型发布进行联邦审查?

icon for 特朗普下令在5月31日之前对人工智能模型发布进行联邦审查?

特朗普下令在5月31日之前对人工智能模型发布进行联邦审查?

11% 概率
Polymarket

$63,554 交易量

11% 概率
Polymarket

$63,554 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government. Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process. Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration’s early-May discussions of a potential executive order for pre-deployment safety reviews of frontier AI models quickly cooled, with a draft directive shifting focus to voluntary cybersecurity information-sharing partnerships instead of mandatory government vetting. Recent agreements with Google, Microsoft, and xAI enable NIST’s Center for AI Standards and Innovation to conduct pre-release evaluations on a collaborative basis, but no formal order has materialized in the weeks since National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett publicly floated the idea. With May 31 now less than two weeks away and no new signals of imminent action, traders see limited pathway for the president to impose binding federal oversight on model releases in that narrow window. A last-minute policy reversal or urgent national-security development could still alter the timeline, though current momentum points elsewhere.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.

Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.

Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$63,554
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government. Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process. Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government. Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process. Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration’s early-May discussions of a potential executive order for pre-deployment safety reviews of frontier AI models quickly cooled, with a draft directive shifting focus to voluntary cybersecurity information-sharing partnerships instead of mandatory government vetting. Recent agreements with Google, Microsoft, and xAI enable NIST’s Center for AI Standards and Innovation to conduct pre-release evaluations on a collaborative basis, but no formal order has materialized in the weeks since National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett publicly floated the idea. With May 31 now less than two weeks away and no new signals of imminent action, traders see limited pathway for the president to impose binding federal oversight on model releases in that narrow window. A last-minute policy reversal or urgent national-security development could still alter the timeline, though current momentum points elsewhere.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.

Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.

Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$63,554
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government. Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process. Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

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"特朗普下令在5月31日之前对人工智能模型发布进行联邦审查?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普下令在5月31日前对AI模型发布进行联邦审查?",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普下令在5月31日之前对人工智能模型发布进行联邦审查?"已产生 $63.6K 的总交易量(自May 4, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普下令在5月31日之前对人工智能模型发布进行联邦审查?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普下令在5月31日之前对人工智能模型发布进行联邦审查?"的当前领先者是"特朗普下令在5月31日前对AI模型发布进行联邦审查?",概率为 11%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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