Heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including US-Iran hostilities and effective disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the primary driver lifting WTI crude prices near $98 per barrel in mid-May 2026. These supply-side shocks have prompted significant inventory draws, with the EIA projecting global stocks to decline by an average of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting spot prices around $106 per barrel for related benchmarks amid tight near-term balances. While robust US production growth and easing demand signals from China exert some downward pressure, the futures curve reflects backwardation consistent with acute supply risks. Traders are monitoring the upcoming EIA weekly petroleum status report and June OPEC+ ministerial decisions for potential quota adjustments, alongside any progress toward reopening Hormuz flows, which could alter the balance between current risk premiums and longer-term supply recovery.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,319,756 交易量
↑ 200美元
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
11%
↑ 120美元
22%
↑ $115
35%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
83%
↓ 95美元
60%
↓ $90
37%
↓ $85
19%
↓ 80美元
9%
↓ 70美元
3%
↓ 60美元
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ 30美元
<1%
$18,319,756 交易量
↑ 200美元
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
11%
↑ 120美元
22%
↑ $115
35%
↑ $110
59%
↑ $105
83%
↓ 95美元
60%
↓ $90
37%
↓ $85
19%
↓ 80美元
9%
↓ 70美元
3%
↓ 60美元
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ 50美元
1%
↓ 30美元
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
市场开放时间: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including US-Iran hostilities and effective disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, represent the primary driver lifting WTI crude prices near $98 per barrel in mid-May 2026. These supply-side shocks have prompted significant inventory draws, with the EIA projecting global stocks to decline by an average of 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, supporting spot prices around $106 per barrel for related benchmarks amid tight near-term balances. While robust US production growth and easing demand signals from China exert some downward pressure, the futures curve reflects backwardation consistent with acute supply risks. Traders are monitoring the upcoming EIA weekly petroleum status report and June OPEC+ ministerial decisions for potential quota adjustments, alongside any progress toward reopening Hormuz flows, which could alter the balance between current risk premiums and longer-term supply recovery.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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