Skip to main content
icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
财务·商业

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
财务·商业

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$118,615 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$118,615 交易量

Polymarket

JetBlue

$22,767 交易量

12%

Frontier Airlines

$32,806 交易量

23%

Allegiant

$30,434 交易量

4%

American Airlines

$11,551 交易量

3%

Alaska Airlines

$21,058 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East disruptions, represent the primary driver pressuring U.S. airline balance sheets and trader sentiment around bankruptcy filings by year-end 2026. The International Air Transport Association recently halved its 2026 industry net profit forecast to $23 billion, citing fuel costs near $4.20–$4.30 per gallon and thinner margins. JetBlue faces acute exposure with roughly $9 billion in debt, projected 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion at current fuel levels, and analyst estimates placing its bankruptcy probability above 75 percent by 2027, though management has ruled out a filing this year. Frontier carries lower leverage yet contends with $800 million in annual lease obligations plus $1.4 billion in aircraft commitments. Spirit Airlines' May 2026 liquidation after its 2024 Chapter 11 filing underscores how unhedged carriers and weak unit economics can accelerate distress, with Q2 earnings releases and any further fuel spikes serving as key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$118,615
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices, driven by Middle East disruptions, represent the primary driver pressuring U.S. airline balance sheets and trader sentiment around bankruptcy filings by year-end 2026. The International Air Transport Association recently halved its 2026 industry net profit forecast to $23 billion, citing fuel costs near $4.20–$4.30 per gallon and thinner margins. JetBlue faces acute exposure with roughly $9 billion in debt, projected 2026 losses exceeding $1 billion at current fuel levels, and analyst estimates placing its bankruptcy probability above 75 percent by 2027, though management has ruled out a filing this year. Frontier carries lower leverage yet contends with $800 million in annual lease obligations plus $1.4 billion in aircraft commitments. Spirit Airlines' May 2026 liquidation after its 2024 Chapter 11 filing underscores how unhedged carriers and weak unit economics can accelerate distress, with Q2 earnings releases and any further fuel spikes serving as key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$118,615
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Frontier Airlines"，概率为 23%，其次是"JetBlue"，概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 23¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 23%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?"已产生 $118.6K 的总交易量（自May 5, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?"的当前领先者是"Frontier Airlines"，概率为 23%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 23%。紧随其后的结果是"JetBlue"，概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。