Recent geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery outages have kept crude oil prices elevated near $81–$88 per barrel, supporting U.S. retail gasoline averages above $4.08/gallon as of late August 2026, with crack spreads wide due to inventories 7% below seasonal norms. EIA forecasts point to Q3 2026 averages near $3.80/gallon amid easing supply risks and a shift to winter blends, which could pressure prices lower before September ends. Traders weigh these macro supply dynamics against potential last-minute disruptions or demand shifts, as reflected in real-capital positioning on near-term thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
↑ $4.50
42%
↑ $4.40
49%
↑ $4.30
44%
↑ $4.20
55%
↓ $4.00
55%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
38%
↓ $3.50
33%
$0.00 交易量
↑ $4.50
$0 交易量
42%
↑ $4.40
$0 交易量
49%
↑ $4.30
$0 交易量
44%
↑ $4.20
$0 交易量
55%
↓ $4.00
$0 交易量
55%
↓ $3.90
$0 交易量
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 交易量
38%
↓ $3.50
$0 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery outages have kept crude oil prices elevated near $81–$88 per barrel, supporting U.S. retail gasoline averages above $4.08/gallon as of late August 2026, with crack spreads wide due to inventories 7% below seasonal norms. EIA forecasts point to Q3 2026 averages near $3.80/gallon amid easing supply risks and a shift to winter blends, which could pressure prices lower before September ends. Traders weigh these macro supply dynamics against potential last-minute disruptions or demand shifts, as reflected in real-capital positioning on near-term thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery outages have kept crude oil prices elevated near $81–$88 per barrel, supporting U.S. retail gasoline averages above $4.08/gallon as of late August 2026, with crack spreads wide due to inventories 7% below seasonal norms. EIA forecasts point to Q3 2026 averages near $3.80/gallon amid easing supply risks and a shift to winter blends, which could pressure prices lower before September ends. Traders weigh these macro supply dynamics against potential last-minute disruptions or demand shifts, as reflected in real-capital positioning on near-term thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETRecent geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery outages have kept crude oil prices elevated near $81–$88 per barrel, supporting U.S. retail gasoline averages above $4.08/gallon as of late August 2026, with crack spreads wide due to inventories 7% below seasonal norms. EIA forecasts point to Q3 2026 averages near $3.80/gallon amid easing supply risks and a shift to winter blends, which could pressure prices lower before September ends. Traders weigh these macro supply dynamics against potential last-minute disruptions or demand shifts, as reflected in real-capital positioning on near-term thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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